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- Ethereum’s performance in February may follow the historical bull trends, but the risks appear
- Mvrv Pad pointed to potential sales pressure, demanding careful monitoring of future price movement
As February is concealed, Ethereum (ETH) is back in the spotlight, and many wonder if it will continue its historic bull trend during this month. In previous years, ETH recorded a consistent increase in prices as the moon progressed, guided by the growing institutional interest and constant development of its ecosystem.
However, recent chain data paint a more cautious picture. In fact, Ethereum’s Mvrv fell below his 160-day moving average-signal, which in the past often preceded significant prices corrections.
February – Ethereum is a historically strong moon
Ethereum has consistently delivered robust Returns in February, making it a separate moon. February has recorded significant gains in the past, such as 46.46% in 2024 and 48.09% in 2017. These runs outweigh the monthly average and medium effect, indicating that the seasonal trend of February is especially favorable for Ethereum.
Source: x
This repetitive power can be attributed to a greater market activity, often after a slower start in January. Since Ethereum entered February 2025. After a modest fall of 4.26% in January, the market participants are optimistic that the strong trend of February could repeat itself, potentially encouraging the recovery and placing the stage for another impressive effect this year.
However, it seems that the data on the chain have told us a different story at the time of the press.
Ethereum’s Mvrv breaks under the key support
Ethereum’s ratio of MVRV was lowered below its 160-day moving average, a development that historically signaled the risk of lack.
As the analyst pointed out But Martinez, Something similar last happened in June 2024. A sharp 40% of the ETH -A price correction followed – from $ 3,500 to $ 2,100.
Source: x
According to the attached chart, the current momentum mirrors of the conditions seen during the previous breakdown. After the consolidation period, ETH’s MVR’s momentum failed to maintain above its 160-day ma-critical indicator of investors’ profitability and mood in the market.
If that trend continues, Ethereum can face intensified sales pressure, potentially revising lower support zones. Investors should closely monitor MVRV trends for further signs of market weakness.
Net outlets of signals move feelings
Changing the net position of Ethereum has underfloor the developing market feelings approaching February.
At the end of 2024, the net inflow on the exchange pointed out more sales pressure, aligning with a stabilizing price trend. However, from the end of December to January 2025, permanent net casts appeared – a sign of accumulation as traders moved the ETH to private banknotes. This is often experienced as a bull’s long -term signal.
Source: Grenede
Recently, lightweight inflows have also returned, a hint of caution among investors in the midst of potential volatility on the market. This shift is aligned with other indicators, such as Mvrv ratio, which hinted at a more cautious attitude.
As Ethereum enters the historically powerful moon, the balance between accumulation and distribution will play a key role in determining whether the ETH will maintain its resistance or face renewed sales pressure.
Read the Price Predict Ethereum (ETH) 2025-26
Potential bull and bear scenarios
Ethereum’s price price revealed a slight momentum, and Altcoin is traded to $ 3,268 at the time of the press.
Key indicators like RSI were neutral. This neutrality could lean the bull if the pressure increases, breaking the resistance to $ 3,300. Also, the trends of this trends indicated a consistent buildup, supporting a potential set.
Source: TraringView
On the contrary, a bear scenario will appear if the pressure sales are increased. The drop below the $ 3,200 support level could lead to a further decline, testing $ 3000. RSI’s disadvantage also hinted at the continuation of the current phase of consolidation.
For now, Ethereum’s movement of prices remains gentle balanced, waiting for determined signs from market feelings and wider macroeconomic factors.
